[Seminarreihe Regensburg] Dmitriy Vorobyev (Madison): "Extra Votes to Signal Loyalty: Regional Political Cycles and National Elections in Russia"

13.03.2018 (13:30 - 15:00)

Am Dienstag, dem 13. März 2018, hält Dmitriy Vorobyev (University of Wisconsin - Madison) in der Seminarreihe des Arbeitsbereichs Ökonomie des Leibniz-Instituts für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (IOS) in Regensburg einen Vortrag zum Thema "Extra Votes to Signal Loyalty: Regional Political Cycles and National Elections in Russia".

Dmitriy Vorobyev ist Post-Doctoral Fellow am Institut für Politikwissenschaft der University of Wisconsin - Madison. Sein Forschungsgebiet ist die Volkswirtschaft und die Rolle von Informationen und Informationswegen in politischen Prozessen, sowie die Effizienz von politischen Institutionen.

Abstract

Under the system of appointment of regional governors by the president which existed in Russia in 2004–2012, governors' loyalty to central government and especially their ability to deliver satisfactory results to ruling party in national-level elections were crucial to his likelihood of being re-appointed for the next term. In this paper, we test whether governors attempted to increase their likelihood of being re-appointed by delivering additional votes to ruling party. We argue that delivering satisfactory results may have different importance to a governor depending on the stage of his term at which elections are held. If elections are held close to the expiration of a governor's current term, the results are likely to be pivotal to his further political career. Exploiting variation in the starting and expiry dates of Russian regional governors' terms of office, we find that winning margins for a pro-government party across Russian regions in national-level elections held in 2004--2012 were substantially higher when elections are closer to the expiration of a regional governor's term. Contrariwise, in 1999–2003, when governors were subject to a direct vote by regional population, no similar effect is found. We then implement several exercises to identify the source of the additional votes for ruling party, and demonstrate that governors, while unlikely using means of electoral fraud, exerted efforts to stimulate turnout.

 

Das Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung Regensburg organisiert in Kooperation mit der Professur für Volkswirtschaftslehre, insbesondere Außenhandel und wirtschaftliche Entwicklung Mittel‐ und Osteuropas, der Universität Regensburg eine Seminarreihe im Arbeitsbereich "Ökonomie" am WIOS in Regensburg (Landshuter Straße 4, Raum 109). Die Veranstaltungen finden jeweils Dienstags von 13:30-15:00 Uhr statt. Alle Interessierten sind herzlich eingeladen.

Die einzelnen Termine finden Sie hier.

Zeit: Dienstag, 13. März 2018, 13:30 - 15:00 Uhr

Ort: Leibniz-Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung, Raum 109, Landshuter Straße 4, 93047 Regensburg

 

Zurück